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Sr Editor

Tired of the superfluous investment news and black box strategies, we set out to find the best strategy for diversified index funds. After researching investment news letters and strategies, we found what we think is hands down the best strategy since it is simple to execute, avoids most bear market losses, and significantly beats a buy and hold investor over the full market cycle. Our goal is to help investors avoid expensive fees and commissions and unrecoverable investment mistakes. We enjoy sharing our research and if you read us you will learn why our motto is simply "Invest Smart".

Doug Noland: Crisis Watch

It’s worth recalling that the 2016 de-risking/de-leveraging episode was nipped in the bud by an upsurge in global QE (especially courtesy the ECB and BOJ) and a corresponding extension of easy money […]

Doug Noland: Disequilibrium

In a world of too much “money” and Crowded Trades prevailing throughout the risk markets, it regresses into a dysfunctional game of disregarding risk and chasing performance. Buy and hold an equities […]

TSP Charts: The Unfavorable Season

If you do not know about the favorable and unfavorable season for the stock market, you might want to check out our take on Sell-in-May.  Unlike many who write about it, I’ve extensively researched it.  It’s the only strategy that I found beats buy and hold over the full market cycle (bull/bear).  And it lowers your investor stress level too.

Doug Noland: Old Roach Motel

One hundred and six months. The current expansion, having emerged in the aftermath of the collapse of the mortgage finance Bubble, is now the second-longest on record (lagging only the 120-month 1990’s […]

TSP Charts: 2 May 2018

SP500 index chart

The SP500 index (TSP C fund) contains 80% of the market value of the total public US stock market.  Examining market internals and price action is one of many tools in gauging […]

The Best TSP Allocation in 2018

I am not impressed with the advice I have found on the internet for investing in TSP funds.  I really don’t think it is that difficult to do the basic analysis, but I just do not see it anywhere.  Sure, I see the market technicians and I often see options for long term investors like the aggressive allocation, the moderate allocation and the safe allocation. If you see this, run don’t walk.