April 18 – Financial Times (Peter Wells): “The chances of the Federal Reserve delivering four interest rates in 2018 have ballooned in recent days. There is a 35.3% chance the US central […]
I am not impressed with the advice I have found on the internet for investing in TSP funds. I really don’t think it is that difficult to do the basic analysis, but I just do not see it anywhere. Sure, I see the market technicians and I often see options for long term investors like the aggressive allocation, the moderate allocation and the safe allocation. If you see this, run don’t walk.
FOMC minutes offered added confirmation that the Powell Fed is not rushing to coddle the markets. Increasingly, they see upside risks to both growth and inflation. Rates remain much too low. “Fed […]
War with Russia over Syria – no sweat. Trade wars with China – whatever. 1929 level stock market valuations – party like it is 1999. Inflation and rising interest rates – no […]
You can not time the market based on valuations, but you can predict future long-term returns.
Markets have grown well-versed at disregarding structural issues. I’m still amazed at what the marketplace was willing to ignore throughout the mortgage finance Bubble period: A doubling of mortgage Credit in just […]
We are still waiting for the market to stop acting like 1987 prior to the crash. In our recent post we pointed to the charts and timeline of market events. Today would […]
In my market commentary for members last Friday, I simply posted a link with some charts and a few thoughts I put together about the similarities many analyst are making to today’s […]
Deutsche Bank (DB) operates, after all, in the core of global derivatives markets and securities finance… Derivatives lurk at the epicenter of global financial crisis risk. It’s right here where global central bank […]
The SP500 index tracked by the TSP C fund appears to be re-entering its primary price channel (blue lines). Parabolic moves to the upside are not only unsustainable, but have never happened […]