It’s worth recalling that the 2016 de-risking/de-leveraging episode was nipped in the bud by an upsurge in global QE (especially courtesy the ECB and BOJ) and a corresponding extension of easy money […]
In a world of too much “money” and Crowded Trades prevailing throughout the risk markets, it regresses into a dysfunctional game of disregarding risk and chasing performance. Buy and hold an equities […]
If you do not know about the favorable and unfavorable season for the stock market, you might want to check out our take on Sell-in-May. Unlike many who write about it, I’ve extensively researched it. It’s the only strategy that I found beats buy and hold over the full market cycle (bull/bear). And it lowers your investor stress level too.
One hundred and six months. The current expansion, having emerged in the aftermath of the collapse of the mortgage finance Bubble, is now the second-longest on record (lagging only the 120-month 1990’s […]
The SP500 index (TSP C fund) contains 80% of the market value of the total public US stock market. Examining market internals and price action is one of many tools in gauging […]
Conventional Wisdom is so often proved wrong. Thinking back over my career, it’s amazing how many times what is believed true without a doubt in the markets turns out completely erroneous. There’s […]
How’s that for a headline? Do you think the mainstream financial media will pick it up. Oh think of the advertising hit they would take. I’ve mostly ignored the robo-adviser trend but […]
April 18 – Financial Times (Peter Wells): “The chances of the Federal Reserve delivering four interest rates in 2018 have ballooned in recent days. There is a 35.3% chance the US central […]
I am not impressed with the advice I have found on the internet for investing in TSP funds. I really don’t think it is that difficult to do the basic analysis, but I just do not see it anywhere. Sure, I see the market technicians and I often see options for long term investors like the aggressive allocation, the moderate allocation and the safe allocation. If you see this, run don’t walk.
FOMC minutes offered added confirmation that the Powell Fed is not rushing to coddle the markets. Increasingly, they see upside risks to both growth and inflation. Rates remain much too low. “Fed […]